Monday, February 18, 2013

Sports: Seahawks Mock Drafts

UPDATE 4/24/2013:
THE DRAFT IS TOMMOROW!!!  Okay, so I know its just another day but for a football junkie like me its akin to my Christmas circa 1980.

I've posted a lot of information on this blog about players and compiling various lists of compelling atheletes. The most interesting and relevant new information for Seahawk draft fans is probably the visit list review compiled by Kip Earlywine on Seahawks Draft Blog.  Check out the lastest installment here;
http://seahawksdraftblog.com/a-look-at-the-seahawks’-2013-draft-visit-list-part-iv

Be sure to check out the previous list installments and look out for the final one which he will publish this evening.  Just a quick toot of my own horn, he cites me as an inspiration for the writing of this length article.  I am honored.

Well without further ado...

My lastest and final guess as to who Seattle will pick is



rnd
name
pos
school
2 (56)
Menelik Watson
OT
Florida State
3 (87)
Montori Hughes
DT
Tennessee Martin
4 (123)
Kyle Juszczyk
FB
Harvard
5 (138)
(raiders)
Mark Harrison
WR
Rutgers
5 (158)
Duke Williams
   S
   Nevada
6 (194)
Ryan Otten
TE
San Jose State
7 (220)
(saints)
Cooper Taylor 
SS
 Richmond
7 (231)
Stephan Charles
DT
Regina
7 (241)
(compensatory)
Perez Ashford
WR
Northern Illinois
   7 (242)
(compensatory)
  Craig Wilkins
 LB
  Old Dominion


I still wish for BJ Daniels but we just signed another back up QB today, Jerrod Johnson so the chances, although still there, are less than before.

Who knows who will be a new Seahawk when the dust clears this weekend but I for one am excited.  Go Hawks!



UPDATE 4/7/2013:

A lot has happened in the past two months since I posted this article. Seattle traded away it's first round pick to acquire WR/KR Percy Harvin, arguably one of the best skill position players in the league.  They also signed DE Cliff Avril of Detroit, highly regarded as the best defensive player available and promptly followed it up by signing the also impressive DE/DT Michael Bennett of Tampa Bay.  To add more depth they signed DT Tony McDaniels, a solid back up from Miami.  These signings appear to make the Seahawks stronger heading in to the 2013 season but they also change available draft picks and priorities.  With all these changes my initial mocks, as with most early mock drafts, have become mostly irrelevant.  Some of the information is still poignant  particularly the "Player's of Interest by Position" table.  I would like to use this update to add a few player's of interest that are now on my radar as well as provide a new mock draft that accounts for the changes in the speculative scenario.

I'll start with some player's that have recently come to my attention.  For this I would like to thank Rob and Kip at www.seahawksdraftblog.com. They work tirelessly scouting off radar players and monitoring Seahawks activity to form intelligent articles and reasoned speculation. I use other sources in my own research but I would be remiss if I didn't mention these guys.  That said, some player's I have found to be good candidates as future Seahawks are;

QB BJ Daniels, University of Southern Florida, 4.6 40yd. 5'11" 220lbs
The Seahawks made it known that one reason they traded away Matt Flynn was that they were seeking a more Wilsonesque player to back up Russell at QB.  BJ Daniels is exactly that type of player.  He is short, strong, fast, and can play a very similar style game to Russell.  He is not as good or shown the same level of game intelligence that Wilson, but then again, who has.  He could come in as a back up behind Russell and learn from the best.  He would be a solid back up and possibly a good trade piece down the road.  Best of all he is likely to be a UDFA (undrafted free agent) or at best a 6th round pick.
Check him out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HL0soMrNlus

WR Mark Harrison, Rutgers, 4.4 40yd. 6'3 35" arms 231lbs
It seems the Seahawks need for WR is a little less with the acquisition of Percy Harvin but the team seems like it could use one big target for Wilson to hit over the middle.  This may come as a "Joker" type Tight End or as a WR that happens to be larger/longer than average.  The latter describes Mark Harrison.
Check him out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YOiwIK_2FiE

OT Menelik Watson, Florida State, 6'5" 310lbs 34" arms.
A kid from the UK that only just started playing football a couple of years ago. He is very raw but we happen to have an O line coach in Tom Cable that has proven both interest and skill in taking raw talents and turning them into quality players (See JR Sweezy).  I could see the Hawks using Watson or Long (below) as an understudy to Breno Giacomini for one year, allowing the team to cut Breno's high salary in 2014 when the money will be needed for other players.
Check him out:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=nkupPUvnJ6U

OT Kyle Long, Oregon, 6'6 315lbs 33.5" arms.
Son of hall of famer Howie Long. Like Watson he came to football late after playing other sports.  He has the physical attributes and the pedigree you would want.  He could fit the Seahawks for all the same reasons as Watson.
Check him out:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JToalc55q_A

RB Zac Stacy, Vanderbilt, 5'8 216lbs
Zac doesn’t have the highest top speed of backs in the NFL but manygreat backs don't, What matters most is a combination of instincts, vision, and acceleration. Zac seems to reach his full speed quickly and adjusts really well at speed. He makes very quick and smooth cuts. He doesn’t broadcast his cuts by juking too much, he simple cuts at the right time to make people miss. His timing is solid.
Check him out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SLOBrUQQNzo

TE Zach Sudfeld, Nevada, 6'7" 253lbs
This is an under the radar tight end that looks to be a solid all around player that can block and catch.  I still imagine the Seahawks looking to a Joker style even if they consider Sudfeld as a late round successor to Miller down the road.
Check him out:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnOPJrJkh1w




rnd
name
pos
school
2 (56)
Menelik Watson
OT
Florida State
3 (87)
Montori Hughes
DT
Tennessee Martin
4 (123)
Zaviar Gooden
OLB
Missouri
5 (138)

(raiders)
Garret Gilkey
OG
Chadron State
5 (158)
Sanders Commings
CB
Georgia
6 (194)
Zac Stacy
RB
Vanderbilt
7 (220)

(saints)
Mark Harrison
WR
Rutgers
7 (231)
BJ Daniels
QB
Southern Florida
7 (241)

(compensatory)
Zach Sudfeld
TE
Nevada
7 (242)

(compensatory)
Alonzo Tweedy 
SS
 Virginia Tech




____________________________________________________________________________

ORIGINAL POST 2/18/13

We have entered a season of great speculation.  The time of year when NFL managers, coaches, and scouts warily debate future candidates in hushed tones over coffee in hotel rooms.  When most fans forget about football, but a sadly dedicated few keep their ears to the ground and their eyes on the screen as they attempt to soak up all the off season b***s*** that so called 'draft gurus' and 'senior analysts' are slinging.  Well I've been neck deep in it and now its my time to sling!

I've been a Seattle Seahawks fan since I was a young boy.  I still have the game day book from one of the first games I attended at the King Dome back in 1980 when Dave Krieg was the Seahawk's undrafted rookie quaterback. Over the years my focus on the team has been varied, but I've always been a fan, most often frustrated by the teams mediocrity.  In more recent years, I've had more to cheer for and with the rise of available online sports analysis, have increasingly enjoyed the ability to play armchair general manager. As a result, this off season, I've compiled some mock drafts.  These are various scenario's I've put forth that speculate on which college football player's might be selected by the Seahawks in the draft this year. 
This effort is far from science, but for me, a fun game of speculation.  The draft is still over a month away and much of this information may be found inaccurate as players display their physique and abilities in the NFL scouting combine.  I have listed 9 picks over 7 rounds that Seattle will select in NFL draft but this too may change as conditional picks for trades or compensatory picks are assigned due to players lost in free agency. What I have compiled are a series of best guess scenarios based on the available information I have now. With that disclosure here's what I have for you. 

Scott Allen's situational mock drafts for the Seattle Seahawks  

Scenario #1: Defensive Jamboree/Seahawks pick WR
In this scenario, the lure of many higher end candidates on defense causes a run on defensive positions in the draft.  This is a worst case scenario for the Seahawks.  The Seahawk’s greatest needs are all on the defensive side of the ball.  While Seattle can benefit from a marquee wide receiver or tight end, they would love to add a little punch to the pass rush.  Last year we lost multiple games, including the playoff loss to Atlanta, because we couldn't generate pressure on opposing quarterback’s during last minute drives. This particular draft scenario forces John Schneider and Pete Carroll to find 'diamond in the rough' defensive players at mid rounds in the draft.  When they make their first pick, most of the better defensive candidates are off the board, but that has left the top WRs ripe for the picking, so with the 25th pick the Seattle Seahawks select….

rnd
name
pos
school
1 (25)
Cordarrelle Patterson
WR
Tennessee
2 (58)
Malliciah Goodman
DE
Clemson
3 (89)
Gavin Escobar
TE
San Diego State
4 (122)
Montori Hughes
DT
Tennessee Martin
5 (133)
(raiders)
Garret Gilkey
OG
Chadron State
5 (153)
Sanders Commings

CB

Georgia

6 (186)
Xavier Nixon
OT
Florida
7 (200)
(bills)
Kerwynn Williams
RB
Utah State

7 (206)
(saints)
Brandon Kaufman
WR
Eastern Washington


Scenario #2: QB Spree/Seahawks load up on D
In this scenario, the Chief’s select West Virginia QB Geno Smith with the first pick.  This choice causes a wind fall of QB selections for a number of teams in need of new field generals.  Fortunately for Seattle, the rush on QB and offensive support positions causes a wealth available defensive talent in the early rounds for Seattle to capitalize on.  Seattle drafts for both starting players and project player’s that add depth with incredible upside.  So without further ado, with the 25th pick the Seattle Seahawks select….

rnd
name
pos
school
1 (25)
Ezekiel Ansah
DE
BYU
2 (58)
Sylvester Williams
DT
North Carolina
3 (89)
Zaviar Gooden
OLB
Missouri
4 (122)

Bennie Logan
DT
LSU
5 (133)
(raiders)
Aaron Melette
WR
Elon
5 (153)
Brian Winters
OG
Kent State
6 (186)
Dustin Hopkins
K
Florida State
7 (200)
(bills)
Colby Cameron
QB
Louisiana Tech
7 (206)
(saints)
Moe Lee
CB

Utah


Scenario #3: Priority One, Replace Leroy Hill
Leroy Hill was likely candidate to depart the team after this season but after a recent arrest for kidnapping, I’d say it’s a sure thing.  Despite that, it’s still possible Seattle wouldn’t consider the WILL linebacker the ultimate priority but if the DE and DT positions get drafted heavily in the early half of round 1, all of a sudden replacing Hill with top level talent might just become the best idea available.  No Hill, no problem! With the 25th pick the Seattle Seahawks select…. 

rnd
Name
pos
school
1 (25)
Khaseem Greene
OLB
Rutgers
2 (58)
Jordan Reed
TE
Florida State
3 (89)
Corey Lemonier
DE
Auburn
4 (122)
David Quessenberry
OT
San Jose State
5 (133)
(raiders)
Corey Fuller
WR
Virginia Tech
5 (153)
Chris Jones
DT
Bowling Green
6 (186)
Perry Jones
RB
Virginia
7 (200)
(bills)
DE
Montana State
7 (206)
(saints)
Jordan Rodgers
QB

Vanderbilt


Scenario #4: Big Bodies
This one’s a little silly but speculation on NFL drafts is called a ‘mock’ after. With that in mind, I've decided  that by possessing the largest defensive backs in the league, Seattle has shown a belief in the value of large bodies.  With Seattle’s defensive scheme, its not necessary to be extraordinarily large at all positions but perhaps Seattle would like to bulk up their front 7 a little. Another reason to consider large bodies is QB Russell Wilson. It makes a lot of sense for the team to value larger receivers that he can target more easily when he has defenders bringing pressure up the middle. So, with all that in mind, let’s think big. With the 25th pick the Seattle Seahawks select….

rnd
Name
pos
school
1 (25)
Datone Jones
DE
UCLA
2 (58)
Brandon Williams
DT
Missouri Southern
3 (89)
Brandon Jenkins
OLB
Florida State
4 (122)

Dion Sims
TE
Michigan State
5 (133)
(raiders)
Brennan Williams
OT
North Carolina
5 (153)
Rodney Smith
WR
Florida State
6 (186)
Cooper Taylor
SS
Richmond
7 (200)
(bills)
Blaze Foltze
OG
TCU
7 (206)
(saints)
Brandon Hepburn
ILB

Florida A&M



Players of Interest by Position

There are so many players being considered for the upcoming draft.  I've not been interested on focusing on them all but have tried to watch tape and read analysis on some of the players who I believe are more likely to be Seahawk's.  The players are selected for their fit in our system and prioritized based upon our positional needs.  I’ve also mostly considered talent that may be available at the right time in the 2013 draft. i.e. the Seahawk's are quite likely to attempt to fill defensive front 7 positions early and if they choose a QB at all, it will be in the latter half of the draft.  I tried to reflect that in the following list. I did not bother to include the punter or center positions because I don’t really imagine us drafting either this year.

round
name
school
ht
wt
40yd
Defensive Tackle
1
1
1
1
1-2
2-5
2-5
4-7
Sharrif Floyd
Sheldon Richardson
Kawann Short
Sylvester Williams
Brandon Williams
Montori Hughes
Bennie Logan
Chris Jones
Florida
Missouri
Purdue
North Carolina
Missouri Southern
Tennessee Martin
LSU
Bowling Green
6-3
6-3
6-3
6-3
6-2
6-4
6-3
6-2
303
295
308
313
341
328
295
302
5.17
4.89
5.16
5.08
5.09
5.04
4.89
5.02
Defensive End
1
2-4
2-4
2-4
2-5
2-5
3-FA
5-FA
Ezekiel Ansah
Malliciah Goodman
Sam Montomery
William Gholston
Michael Buchanan
Corey Lemonier
Quanterus Smith
Caleb Schreibeis
BYU
Clemson
LSU
Michigan State
Illinois
Auburn
Western Kentucky
Montana State
6-5
6-4
6-5
6-6
6-5
6-3
6-5
6-2
274
272
260
278
252
242
248
255
4.74
4.74
4.59
4.76
4.75
4.78
4.74
4.76
Outside Linebacker
1
1-2
1-2
1-3
2-4
2-4
2-4
5-7
6-FA
Alec Ogletree
Arther Brown
Kahseem Greene
Zaviar Gooden
Brandon Jenkins
Trevardo Williams
Sio Moore
Maalik Bomar
Phillip Steward
Georgia
Kansas State
Rutgers
Missouri
Florida State
Connecticut
Connecticut
Cincinnati
Houston
6-3
6-1
6-1
6-2
6-3
6-1
6-1
6-2
6-1
234
228
236
233
260
235
240
228
230
4.63
4.62
4.64
4.49
4.69
4.52
4.64
4.63
4.64
Wide Receiver
1
1-2
1-2
1-2
2-3
2-3
2-3
2-3
3-5
3-5
3-5
4-6
5-7
5-7
6-7
7-FA
Cordarrelle Patterson
DeAndre Hopkins
Robert Woods
Terrance Williams
Markus Wheaton
Justin Hunter
Marquise Goodwin
Da’Rick Rogers
Ryan Swope
Ace Sanders
Corey Fuller
Aaron Mellette
Marquess Wilson
Rodney Smith
Brandon Kaufman
Dan Buckner
Tennessee
Clemson
USC
Baylor
Oregon State
Tennessee
Texas
Tennessee Tech
Texas A&M
South Carolina
Virginia Tech
Elon
Washington State
Florida State
Eastern Washington
Arizona
6-3
6-1
6-1
6-2
5-11
6-4
5-9
6-2
6-0
5-8
6-2
6-3
6-3
6-5
6-4
6-4
205
200
190
201
183
200
179
206
204
176
197
216
188
219
215
212
4.46
4.56
4.47
4.49
4.44
4.49
4.36
4.52
4.53
4.50
4.43
4.53
4.53
4.59
4.58
4.57
Tight End
1-2
1-2
2-3
2-4
2-4
3-5
4-6
5-7
5-7
6-FA
Zach Ertz
Tyler Eifert
Travis Kelce
Jordan Reed
Gavin Escobar
Dion Sims
Ryan Otten
Mychal Rivera
Joseph Fauria
Levine Toilolo
Stanford
Notre Dame
Cincinnati
Florida
San Diego State
Michigan State
San Jose State
Tennessee
UCLA
Stanford
6-6
6-5
6-5
6-3
6-5
6-5
6-5
6-3
6-7
6-7
252
252
260
243
255
285
235
237
257
265
4.79
4.80
4.68
4.62
4.78
4.76
4.78
4.79
4.82
4.86
Offensive Guard
1-2
2-4
3-5
4-6
5-7
Jonathan Cooper
Justin Pugh
Brian Winters
Garrett Gilkey
Blaize Foltz
North Carolina
Syracuse
Kent State
Chadron State
TCU
6-3
6-5
6-4
6-6
6-3
310
301
310
314
329
5.17
5.12
5.09
5.40
5.32
Offensive Tackle
1-2
2-4
2-4
2-4
4-6
4-6
D.J Fluker
Terron Armstead
Jordan Mills
David Quessenberry
Xavier Nixon
Brennan Williams
Alabama
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Louisiana Tech
San Jose State
Florida
North Carolina
6-5
6-5
6-5
6-5
6-6
6-7
355
306
318
294
311
315
5.32
4.86
5.33
5.18
5.23
5.15
Quarterback
1-4
3-6
6-FA
6-FA
6-FA
6-FA
EJ Manuel
Matt Scott
Colby Cameron
Jordan Rodgers
Jeff Tuel
Collin Klein
Florida State
Arizona
Louisiana Tech
Vanderbilt
Washington State
Kansas State
6-4
6-2
6-2
6-1
6-3
6-5
237
202
210
212
221
218
4.67
4.68
4.87
4.79
4.79
4.74
Kicker
FM 50+
6-7
7-FA
7-FA
7-FA
Dustin Hopkins
Caleb Sturgis
Brett Maher
Brett Baer
Florida State
Florida
Nebraska
Louisiana Lafayette
6-2
5-10
6-0
5-11
189
186
185
182
5 of 6
3 of 3
3 of 5
2 of 2
Running Back
2-4
2-4
3-5
3-5
5-7
6-7
7-FA
Montee Ball
Stephan Taylor
Mike Gillislee
Jawan Jamison
Kerwynn Williams
Robbie Rouse
Perry Jones
Wisconsin
Stanford
Florida
Rutgers
Utah St.
Fresno State
Virginia
5-11
5-9
5-11
5-8
5-8
5-6
5-7
215
216
207
200
196
186
193
4.57
4.57
4.56
4.52
4.44
4.52
4.50
Cornerback
1-3
2-4
2-4
3-5
4-6
5-7
7-FA
Jordan Poyer
Robert Alford
David Amerson
Blidi Wreh-Wilson
Tharold Simon
Sanders Comming
Moe Lee
Oregon State
SE Louisiana
North Carolina St
Connecticut
LSU
Georgia
Utah
6-0
5-10
6-2
6-1
6-2
6-0
6-1
182
186
194
192
193
223
194
4.49
4.42
4.59
4.44
4.53
4.54
4.51
Strong Safety
4-6
5-7
5-7
6-7
6-FA
6-FA
Robert Lester
Shamarko Thomas
Cooper Taylor
Ray Ray Armstrong
Alonzo Tweedy
Dominick LaGrande
Alabama
Syracuse
Richmond
Miami
Virginia Tech
Marshall
6-1
5-9
6-4
6-3
6-1
6-2
212
217
229
227
195
213
4.63
4.39
4.57
4.62
4.49
4.65
Free Safety
2-4
3-5
5-6
6-7
7-FA
Bacarri Rambo
T.J. McDonald
Zeke Motta
Daimion Stafford
John Boyett
Georgia
Southern Cal
Notre Dame
Nebraska
Oregon
6-1
6-2
6-2
6-1
5-10
215
211
215
205
205
4.56
4.52
4.54
4.57
4.64
Inside Linebacker
4-6
6-FA
7-FA
7-FA
A.J. Klein
Nick Clancy
Brandon Hepburn
Uona Kaveinga
Iowa State
Boston College
Florida A&M
BYU
6-1
6-2
6-2
5-11
246
229
242
245
4.72
4.84
4.62
4.67

 All player statistics provided by http://www.nfldraftscout.com

So that's about it.  I welcome any readers to join in on the fun.  If you have a favorite team you can find individual player analysis and scouting information at www.nfldraftscout.com and www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft.  

If your interest is Seahawk specific, a great source for draft analysis is Seahawks draft wizard Rob Staton.  He posts daily about prospective Seahawk players and his analysis is well supported. Find his material at www.seahawksdraftblog.com

I also encourage the use of highlight footage.  You can only go so far trusting the analysis of others.  By watching recorded footage of player's you can make more accurate assessments of a player's skill and their relative value to your favorite football team. A great source for scouting footage is Youtube.  You can search youtube for individual player highlights or make use of the scouting footage compiled by users like jmpasq (www.youtube.com/user/jmpasq).  

Best of luck to any of you who have a fevered interest in this nonsense.  If you do find your self compiling info on the topic, please send it my way.  I would love you see what you've put together.  Go Hawks!